Estimates of present and future flood risk in the conterminous United States
A collaboration with the US EPA and The Nature Conservancy to show that: a) previous estimates have significantly underestimated exposure of US population to flood risk; and b) that population and GDP growth are likely to cause this to further increases in future
Wing, O.E.J., Bates, P.D., Smith, A.M., Sampson, C.C., Johnson, K.A., Fargione, J., Morefield, P., 2018.
Environmental Research Letters - vol 13, no. 3
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aaac65VIEW PAPER
Validation of Fathom-US flood hazard model
First peer-reviewed validation of large scale, high resolution flood hazard model:
Wing, O, Bates, P, Sampson, C, Smith A, Johnson, K & Erickson, T. 2017.
Water Resources Research - vol 53, pp 7968-7986
DOI: 10.1002/2017WR020917VIEW PAPER
Rethinking flood hazard at the global scale
The first continuous long-term (1973-2012) high resolution simulation of river flow and flooding at the continental scale:
Schumann, GJP, Stampoulis, D, Smith, AM, Sampson, CC, Andreadis, KM, Neal, JC & Bates, PD 2016.
Geophysical Research Letters - vol 43, no. 19, pp. 10249-10256.
DOI: 10.1002/2016GL070260VIEW PAPER
The credibility challenge for global fluvial flood risk analysis
A collaborative paper that highlights the challenges posed by developing and refining the first generation of global flood hazard models:
Trigg, M, Birch, C, Neal, J, Bates, P, Smith, A, Sampson, C, Yamazaki, D, Hirabayashi, Y, Pappenberger, F, Dutra, E, Ward, PJ, Winsemius, HC, Salamon, P, Dottori, F, Rudari, R, Kappes, M, Simpson, A, Hadzilacos, G & Fewtrell, T 2016,
Environmental Research Letters - vol 11, no. 9, 094014.
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/094014VIEW PAPER
Fight floods on a global scale
A call for action on global terrain data, published in the most prestigious scientific journal ‘Nature’, that led to our being invited to participate in the White House Climate Data initiative under President Barack Obama:
Schumann, G, Bates, PD, Neal, JC & Andreadis, K 2014.
Nature - vol 507
DOI: 10.1038/507169eVIEW PAPER
Regional flood frequency analysis at the global scale
The paper describes our method for estimating extreme river flows anywhere on Earth.
Smith, A, Sampson, C & Bates, P 2015,
Water Resources Research - vol 51, no. 1, pp. 539-553.
DOI: 10.1002/2014WR015814VIEW PAPER
A high-resolution global flood hazard model
The paper describes the architecture of our Global Flood Model, validating its performance against local data:
Sampson, CC, Smith, AM, Bates, PB, Neal, JC, Alfieri, L & Freer, JE 2015,
Water Resources Research - vol 51, no. 9, pp. 7358-7381.
DOI: 10.1002/2015WR016954VIEW PAPER